We all know how German soccer is managed, about the homegrown talent, the low debt, the number of great mid-table sides and their battles. Yes, the Bundesliga is Europe’s one true healthy league.
But there is just one problem. Predicting the champion is way too easy these days thanks to Bayern Munich and the very few periods where they failed to shine. This season has been no different, as Bayern are on the verge of winning their 25th Bundesliga in 55 years since its inception.
Bayern did have an unassailable lead since the early days of the season, but Pep Guardiola’s pre-contract with Manchester City has left many to ponder whether that has been the reason behind the sudden fall in form and performance of the Bavarians.
Let’s get into some of the key statistical insights here-
Before 1st February (the day Manchester City announced that Pep had signed a pre-contract), Bayern had played a total of 29 games in all competitions(including UCL, Bundesliga and DVB-Pokal), winning 25 of them, losing twice and drawing twice. On the contrary, since 1st February, Bayern have played 14 games, amongst which they have won a total of 8 games, drawing 5 times and losing once.
Before Guardiola was announced as the Manchester City manager for next season, Bayern had been scoring 2.72 goals per game on an average compared to just 1.85 goals in the last 14 games. While the defence hasn’t been great too that used to be during the first half of the season. Earlier they conceded just 0.48 goals per game while for the past couple of months they have conceded 0.79 goals per game.
Analysing with some basic statistical tools and the use of footballing knowledge, we can easily conclude that indeed Bayern’s performance has declined over the course of the season, which shows signs that maybe Pep and the Bayern team were actually distracted by the managerial change for next season. It can either be Bayern’s reflection on how Carlo Ancelotti will change things next season that may affect their performance or Pep’s multitasking that he himself claimed, “I am a woman, I can multi-task.”
Well Pep, you are not a great multi-tasker or is it just pure coincidence?